We now have positive news that the Orissa Government
will be signing an MoU with the POSCO group on 22nd June 2005 for setting
up a $12 billion steel plant in the state. This is the largest single FDI
project in India and marks the largest presence by a foreign steel group.
This development probably marks the beginning of a massive expansion in
steel making capacity in the country. The Orissa Government has already
signed MoU’s for setting up about 48 million tonnes of capacity. Even if
half of this materialises, we can comfortably expect over 65 million
tonnes capacity by the year 2012. All the major steel groups in India
including Tata Steel, Jindal and Bhushan industries have programmes of
setting up green field plants in Orissa with the expectation that they
will be given iron ore mining leases. The Lakshmi Mittal Group has,
however, chosen Jharkhand for making their maiden appearance in India. We
can only hope that all these capacities will actually come up and not
remain paper exercises.
The recent fall in steel prices has served to dampen
producer sentiment in the country. The moot question is whether this is a
temporary correction or whether the fall will continue. All eyes are
directed at China where it is expected that a temporary slowdown in growth
at the behest of the Chinese Government will once again pick up since a
lot of infrastructure development is still expected to take place by 2007.
At the same time, the steel industry in our country is worried about the
relatively low protection available in the form of 5 per cent import duty.
This, they claim is a dampener for further investment and in fact, they
expect the Government to intervene if prices continue to fall. It is too
early to say whether the prophets of doom are justified in their
pessimism. The fundamentals of the economy are still strong with the
reform process continuing, albeit at a restrictive pace. The Sensex is at
its highest and market sentiment is strong on the back of strong efforts
at infrastructure development.
The steel industry has expressed concerns over the
surge in imports of steel materials, particularly HR coils from the CIS
countries. They suggest that on a quarter to quarter basis, the imports
into India of HR coils in the first quarter of 2005 is 140 per cent more
than the previous quarter and about 125 per cent greater than the same
quarter last year. They are concerned that cheap imports will affect the
health of the industry. It is for the industry to establish whether the
import prices are attracting anti dumping action. This will require data
for at least six months before action can be taken. Nevertheless, the
Government will assist the industry to remain vigilant about imports
taking place in the country and in fact, we are thinking of devising a
much better imports surveillance system with the direct assistance of the
customs authorities.
The present issue is devoted to non-flat products, i.e.
long products which are now in great demand since there is an apparent
boom in the construction sector. Even though the major players
particularly, RINL produces significant quantities of long products, the
fact remains that the majority of round products are produced in the
secondary steel sector. In fact,
we are now trying to bring about a market transformation in the
secondary steel sector through a UNDP/GEF project on ‘energy efficiency
improvement in the steel rerolling mills sector.’ We hope that in a few
years, the industry will be able to substantially upgrade its technology
and improve energy efficiency. Unfortunately, the secondary steel sector
has been neglected for quite some time and it is now necessary to focus on
the needs of this sector.